When Michael Skubala extended his contract with Lincoln City until 2028, many sensed that the club was preparing for future interest in their manager.
Just two months later, Lincoln City sits fourth in League One despite maintaining one of the lowest possession rates in the division—a mere 37%. This unconventional approach raises eyebrows, as Skubala’s team shows that dominance on the ball isn’t essential to success.
In the average League One game, with around 55 minutes of ball-in-play time, Lincoln only have control for about 20 minutes. Yet, they’ve scored almost as many goals as the league’s top sides. The numbers suggest Lincoln are capitalising on limited opportunities, with 15 goals scored from under 10 expected goals (xG), according to FotMob data. It’s clear they aren’t overwhelming their opponents but are executing a sharp, opportunistic strategy.
Lincoln’s game plan relies on robust defending and efficient counterattacks. When they do gain possession, they waste no time advancing the ball, which is reflected in their direct playing style. With over a quarter of their passes hit long and just under two-thirds reaching a teammate – the lowest pass completion rate in League One – it’s evident that possession isn’t their priority, but results are.
Wrexham and Stevenage: Less Possession, More Wins
If Lincoln’s approach raises eyebrows, Wrexham’s success with low possession further emphasises that this style can be effective. Phil Parkinson’s side averages just 43% possession, with even less on their travels. Despite this, Wrexham currently sit 2nd in the table, with one of the highest points-per-game ratios in League One. Last season, they were promoted from League Two with a modest 49.4% possession, proving they weren’t overly concerned with controlling the ball even then.
Stevenage, under Alex Revell, have also embraced a pragmatic approach. Defying pre-season scepticism, they find themselves in the top half of the table, playing a division-high 25.5% of their passes long. Like Lincoln, their success is built on solid defence. Only Birmingham City allow fewer shots per game, and no team concedes fewer shots on target. This defensive strength allows Stevenage to compete effectively, even while ceding possession to their opponents.
In modern football, possession has long been equated with control, but the successes of Lincoln, Wrexham, and Stevenage show that effective defence, quick transitions, and capitalising on key moments can be just as powerful.
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